TONIGHT › DAL AT MIAMONDAY, OCTOBER 26, 2026 · MIAMI · TIP 7:30 PM ET

Heat, comfortably.

Clutch gives the Heat a 73% chance at home against the Mavericks. The market has 73%.

Sealed 10:01 AM ET, 9 h 28 min before tipRECEIPT d1a62183…a93f50GRADED AFTER THE FINAL
THE CALLTIP 7:30 PM ET
DALMAVERICKS · AWAY27
MIAHEAT · HOME73%
CLUTCH MIA 73 · MARKET 73SEALED 10:01 AM ET

Why Clutch leans Heat

Injury report: DAL without Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall, Dereck Lively +1. Toward the Heat: 39% of the call.

Home court (MIA). Toward the Heat: 18% of the call.

Season-long strength: MIA rated above DAL. Toward the Heat: 16% of the call.

Pro weighs every factor, shows the projected final, and Model only — Clutch's own number before the market. See Pro →

What Clutch couldn't see

  • Early season: each team's rating still leans on last season, adjusted for who arrived and who left (it takes about ten games for this season's results to carry most of the weight).

Who's out

TEAMPLAYERSTATUSMINUTES
DALSanti Aldamaout28 MPG
DALNaji Marshallout29 MPG
DALCooper Flaggquestionable29 MPG
DALDereck Livelyout17 MPG
DALCaleb Martindoubtful18 MPG
MIANobody listed

From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.

This page grades itself

After the final you'll see the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt that proves the call came first.