NBA playoff chances
Every NBA team's chance to make the playoffs, from 10,000 simulated seasons, rebuilt every night with the latest results. With only a few games played, these still lean on each team's rating coming into the season.
East
| TEAM | W–L | PLAYOFF CHANCE |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Pistons | 2–0 | 93% |
| New York Knicks | 0–2 | 90% |
| Toronto Raptors | 2–0 | 85% |
| Atlanta Hawks | 2–1 | 82% |
| Boston Celtics | 1–1 | 81% |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 3–0 | 79% |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 1–1 | 72% |
| Charlotte Hornets | 2–1 | 63% |
| Orlando Magic | 0–2 | 47% |
| Miami Heat | 0–3 | 27% |
| Indiana Pacers | 1–1 | 27% |
| Chicago Bulls | 1–2 | 19% |
| Washington Wizards | 2–1 | 15% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 0–3 | 14% |
| Brooklyn Nets | 0–2 | 8% |
West
| TEAM | W–L | PLAYOFF CHANCE |
|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 2–0 | 95% |
| San Antonio Spurs | 1–2 | 90% |
| Houston Rockets | 3–0 | 88% |
| Denver Nuggets | 1–1 | 82% |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 2–0 | 82% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 2–0 | 80% |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 2–0 | 76% |
| LA Clippers | 1–1 | 52% |
| Phoenix Suns | 1–1 | 44% |
| Golden State Warriors | 0–3 | 36% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 2–0 | 26% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 0–3 | 18% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 1–2 | 15% |
| Utah Jazz | 1–1 | 13% |
| Sacramento Kings | 0–2 | 4% |
How these are made
Each night Clutch plays out the rest of the regular season 10,000 times. Every remaining game gets Clutch's win probability for it, each team's strength is allowed to drift as much as it has in past seasons, and ties are broken by head-to-head and then at random. A team's playoff chance is how often it finished in a top-six spot or won its way through the play-in.
Tested on the 2018-19 to 2025-26 seasons, the chances it gave before opening night scored 0.181 on the accuracy score (the Brier score: lower is better, a coin flip is 0.250), against 0.195 for going by last season's record alone.
The full simulation — seeds, every round, the title and projected wins — is in Clutch Pro. Each team's page has its next games with Clutch's call. All 30 teams →
Clutch's numbers on this page are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0: credit Clutch and link to clutchledger.com.