TONIGHT › MIA AT ATLWEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 28, 2026 · ATLANTA · TIP 7:00 PM ET

Hawks, by a possession.

Clutch gives the Hawks a 62% chance at home against the Heat. The market has 59%.

Not sealed yet. Every number is sealed before tip.GRADED AFTER THE FINAL
THE CALLTIP 7:00 PM ET
MIAHEAT · AWAY38
ATLHAWKS · HOME62%
CLUTCH ATL 62 · MARKET 59

Why Clutch leans Hawks

Season margin: ATL +3.1, MIA -2.7 pts a game (blended with last season early on). Toward the Hawks: 34% of the call.

Season-long strength: ATL rated well above MIA. Toward the Hawks: 24% of the call.

Home court (ATL). Toward the Hawks: 21% of the call.

Pro weighs every factor, shows the projected final, and Model only — Clutch's own number before the market. See Pro →

What Clutch couldn't see

  • Early season: each team's rating still leans on last season, adjusted for who arrived and who left (it takes about ten games for this season's results to carry most of the weight).

Who's out

TEAMPLAYERSTATUSMINUTES
ATLMouhamed Gueyeout11 MPG
ATLAaron Wigginsquestionable15 MPG
ATLKeshon Gilbertquestionable19 MPG
ATLJalen Wilsonquestionable24 MPG
MIAPelle Larssonprobable29 MPG

From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.

This page grades itself

After the final you'll see the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt that proves the call came first.