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Why Clutch leans Cavaliers
Season-long strength: CLE rated well above MIL. Toward the Cavaliers: 34% of the call.
Season margin: MIL -6.1, CLE +1.5 pts a game (blended with last season early on). Toward the Cavaliers: 29% of the call.
Home court (MIL). Toward the Bucks: 14% of the call.
Pro weighs every factor, shows the projected final, and Model only — Clutch's own number before the market. See Pro →
What Clutch couldn't see
- Early season: each team's rating still leans on last season, adjusted for who arrived and who left (it takes about ten games for this season's results to carry most of the weight).
Who's out
| Team | Player | Status | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | Jaylon Tyson | out | 15 MPG |
| CLE | Naeqwan Tomlin | out | 11 MPG |
| CLE | Meleek Thomas | questionable | 20 MPG |
| MIL | Nobody listed |
From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.
Coming in
| Before Oct 31, 2026 | CLE | MIL |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3–2 | 1–4 |
| At home | 3–0 | 1–2 |
| On the road | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Lost 1 |
| Points scored | 118.0 | 113.4 |
| Points allowed | 117.0 | 124.2 |
| Average margin | +1.0 pts | −10.8 pts |
| Margin rank | 15th of 30 | 26th of 30 |
| Rest | 1 day | 2 days |
| Clutch on their games | 5–0 | 3–2 |
| Playoff chance | 81% | 10% |
| 2025-26 record | 52–30 | 32–50 |
They last met on Mar 17, 2026: Cavaliers 123, Bucks 116 in Milwaukee.
After the final, this page grades itself: the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt.