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Why Clutch leans Grizzlies
Season margin: MEM +1.5, SAC -9.5 pts a game (blended with last season early on). Toward the Grizzlies: 46% of the call.
Home court (MEM). Toward the Grizzlies: 15% of the call.
Season-long strength: MEM rated above SAC. Toward the Grizzlies: 13% of the call.
Pro weighs every factor, shows the projected final, and Model only — Clutch's own number before the market. See Pro →
What Clutch couldn't see
- Early season: each team's rating still leans on last season, adjusted for who arrived and who left (it takes about ten games for this season's results to carry most of the weight).
Who's out
| Team | Player | Status | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | Maxime Raynaud | out | 32 MPG |
| SAC | Keegan Murray | out | 29 MPG |
| MEM | Ty Jerome | questionable | 27 MPG |
| SAC | Dylan Cardwell | out | 21 MPG |
| SAC | Ben Simmons | out | 10 MPG |
| MEM | Quinten Post | doubtful | 16 MPG |
| MEM | Scotty Pippen | questionable | 19 MPG |
From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.
Coming in
| Before Oct 31, 2026 | SAC | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0–5 | 5–0 |
| At home | 0–2 | 1–0 |
| On the road | 0–3 | 4–0 |
| Streak | Lost 5 | Won 5 |
| Points scored | 110.2 | 118.2 |
| Points allowed | 126.8 | 106.2 |
| Average margin | −16.6 pts | +12.0 pts |
| Margin rank | 30th of 30 | 2nd of 30 |
| Rest | 1 day | 1 day |
| Clutch on their games | 5–0 | 3–2 |
| Playoff chance | 1% | 50% |
| 2025-26 record | 22–60 | 25–57 |
They last met on Oct 25, 2026: Grizzlies 123, Kings 112 in Sacramento.
After the final, this page grades itself: the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt.