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Why Clutch leans Nuggets
Season margin: PHX -3.0, DEN +1.0 pts a game (blended with last season early on). Toward the Nuggets: 32% of the call.
Home court (PHX). Toward the Suns: 29% of the call.
Season-long strength: DEN rated above PHX. Toward the Nuggets: 18% of the call.
Pro weighs every factor, shows the projected final, and Model only — Clutch's own number before the market. See Pro →
What Clutch couldn't see
- Early season: each team's rating still leans on last season, adjusted for who arrived and who left (it takes about ten games for this season's results to carry most of the weight).
Who's out
| Team | Player | Status | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | Mark Williams | out | 21 MPG |
| DEN | Spencer Jones | out | 21 MPG |
| DEN | Julian Strawther | out | 16 MPG |
| DEN | Cameron Johnson | questionable | 30 MPG |
| PHX | Oso Ighodaro | questionable | 25 MPG |
| DEN | Alpha Diallo | questionable | 22 MPG |
From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.
Coming in
| Before Oct 30, 2026 | DEN | PHX |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2–2 | 1–2 |
| At home | 1–1 | 1–0 |
| On the road | 1–1 | 0–2 |
| Streak | Won 1 | Lost 1 |
| Points scored | 110.8 | 109.3 |
| Points allowed | 114.0 | 123.7 |
| Average margin | −3.3 pts | −14.3 pts |
| Margin rank | 21st of 30 | 28th of 30 |
| Rest | 1 day | 3 days |
| Clutch on their games | 3–1 | 3–0 |
| Playoff chance | 75% | 39% |
| 2025-26 record | 54–28 | 45–37 |
They last met on Mar 24, 2026: Nuggets 125, Suns 123 in Phoenix.
After the final, this page grades itself: the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt.