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Why Clutch leans Raptors
Season margin: TOR +5.3, ORL -3.3 pts a game (blended with last season early on). Toward the Raptors: 55% of the call.
Home court (TOR). Toward the Raptors: 23% of the call.
Season-long strength: TOR rated above ORL. Toward the Raptors: 9% of the call.
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What Clutch couldn't see
- Early season: each team's rating still leans on last season, adjusted for who arrived and who left (it takes about ten games for this season's results to carry most of the weight).
Who's out
| Team | Player | Status | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | Kawhi Leonard | out | 31 MPG |
| ORL | Paolo Banchero | out | 37 MPG |
| ORL | Jalen Suggs | out | 35 MPG |
| TOR | Malachi Smith | out | 27 MPG |
From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.
Coming in
| Before Oct 30, 2026 | ORL | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1–3 | 3–1 |
| At home | 0–2 | 2–0 |
| On the road | 1–1 | 1–1 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Won 1 |
| Points scored | 107.0 | 117.5 |
| Points allowed | 119.5 | 102.5 |
| Average margin | −12.5 pts | +15.0 pts |
| Margin rank | 27th of 30 | 1st of 30 |
| Rest | 1 day | 1 day |
| Clutch on their games | 1–3 | 4–0 |
| Playoff chance | 41% | 85% |
| 2025-26 record | 45–37 | 46–36 |
They last met on Oct 28, 2026: Raptors 129, Magic 99 in Toronto.
After the final, this page grades itself: the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt.