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Why Clutch leans Nuggets
Injury report: DEN without Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones; POR without Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe. Toward the Nuggets: 26% of the call.
Home court (DEN). Toward the Nuggets: 22% of the call.
Altitude in DEN. Toward the Nuggets: 18% of the call.
Pro weighs every factor, shows the projected final, and Model only — Clutch's own number before the market. See Pro →
What Clutch couldn't see
- Early season: each team's rating still leans on last season, adjusted for who arrived and who left (it takes about ten games for this season's results to carry most of the weight).
Who's out
| Team | Player | Status | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR | Ja Morant | out | 28 MPG |
| POR | Shaedon Sharpe | out | 17 MPG |
| DEN | Spencer Jones | out | 21 MPG |
| DEN | Julian Strawther | out | 16 MPG |
| DEN | Alpha Diallo | questionable | 22 MPG |
From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.
Coming in
| Before Nov 2, 2026 | POR | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4–1 | 3–2 |
| At home | 1–1 | 1–1 |
| On the road | 3–0 | 2–1 |
| Streak | Won 1 | Won 2 |
| Points scored | 120.6 | 114.0 |
| Points allowed | 109.2 | 115.2 |
| Average margin | +11.4 pts | −1.2 pts |
| Margin rank | 3rd of 30 | 19th of 30 |
| Rest | 1 day | 2 days |
| Clutch on their games | 3–2 | 4–1 |
| Playoff chance | 74% | 78% |
| 2025-26 record | 42–40 | 54–28 |
They last met on Apr 6, 2026: Nuggets 137, Trail Blazers 132 in Denver (overtime).
After the final, this page grades itself: the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt.