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Why Clutch leans Mavericks
Season margin: DAL -1.1, SAC -10.9 pts a game (blended with last season early on). Toward the Mavericks: 48% of the call.
Season-long strength: DAL rated well above SAC. Toward the Mavericks: 25% of the call.
Home court (DAL). Toward the Mavericks: 18% of the call.
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What Clutch couldn't see
- Early season: each team's rating still leans on last season, adjusted for who arrived and who left (it takes about ten games for this season's results to carry most of the weight).
Who's out
| Team | Player | Status | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | Santi Aldama | doubtful | 28 MPG |
| SAC | Maxime Raynaud | out | 32 MPG |
| SAC | Keegan Murray | out | 29 MPG |
| DAL | Kyrie Irving | questionable | 30 MPG |
| SAC | Ben Simmons | out | 10 MPG |
| SAC | Zach Lavine | questionable | 30 MPG |
| DAL | Dereck Lively | out | 17 MPG |
| DAL | Sergio De Larrea | out | 12 MPG |
| SAC | Dylan Cardwell | questionable | 21 MPG |
From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.
Coming in
| Before Nov 2, 2026 | SAC | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0–6 | 4–2 |
| At home | 0–2 | 2–1 |
| On the road | 0–4 | 2–1 |
| Last 5 | 0–5 | 4–1 |
| Streak | Lost 6 | Won 3 |
| Points scored | 109.3 | 114.3 |
| Points allowed | 128.3 | 111.8 |
| Average margin | −19.0 pts | +2.5 pts |
| Margin rank | 30th of 30 | 13th of 30 |
| Rest | 1 day | 2 days |
| Clutch on their games | 6–0 | 2–4 |
| Playoff chance | 1% | 35% |
| 2025-26 record | 22–60 | 26–56 |
They last met on Feb 26, 2026: Kings 130, Mavericks 121 in Dallas.
After the final, this page grades itself: the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt.