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Why Clutch leans Thunder
Season-long strength: OKC rated above CLE. Toward the Thunder: 31% of the call.
Home court (OKC). Toward the Thunder: 31% of the call.
Roster moves: CLE added James Harden and Meleek Thomas and Peyton Watson. Toward the Cavaliers: 18% of the call.
Pro weighs every factor, shows the projected final, and Model only — Clutch's own number before the market. See Pro →
What Clutch couldn't see
- Early season: each team's rating still leans on last season, adjusted for who arrived and who left (it takes about ten games for this season's results to carry most of the weight).
Who's out
| Team | Player | Status | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | Nobody listed | ||
| OKC | Nobody listed |
From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.
Coming in
| Before Nov 4, 2026 | CLE | OKC |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4–3 | 5–2 |
| At home | 3–1 | 3–0 |
| On the road | 1–2 | 2–2 |
| Last 5 | 3–2 | 3–2 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Won 1 |
| Points scored | 119.7 | 108.0 |
| Points allowed | 116.1 | 107.7 |
| Average margin | +3.6 pts | +0.3 pts |
| Margin rank | 11th of 30 | 17th of 30 |
| Rest | 1 day | 1 day |
| Clutch on their games | 6–1 | 5–2 |
| Playoff chance | 87% | 87% |
| 2025-26 record | 52–30 | 64–18 |
They last met on Nov 2, 2026: Thunder 117, Cavaliers 112 in Cleveland.
After the final, this page grades itself: the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt.