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Why Clutch leans Rockets
Home court (HOU). Toward the Rockets: 47% of the call.
Season margin: HOU +7.3, MIN +5.8 pts a game (blended with last season early on). Toward the Rockets: 19% of the call.
Season-long strength: HOU rated above MIN. Toward the Rockets: 17% of the call.
Pro weighs every factor, shows the projected final, and Model only — Clutch's own number before the market. See Pro →
What Clutch couldn't see
- Early season: each team's rating still leans on last season, adjusted for who arrived and who left (it takes about ten games for this season's results to carry most of the weight).
Who's out
| Team | Player | Status | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | Nobody listed | ||
| HOU | Nobody listed |
From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.
Coming in
| Before Nov 4, 2026 | MIN | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5–3 | 7–1 |
| At home | 3–1 | 4–0 |
| On the road | 2–2 | 3–1 |
| Last 5 | 2–3 | 4–1 |
| Streak | Won 1 | Won 2 |
| Points scored | 119.0 | 119.3 |
| Points allowed | 107.6 | 106.4 |
| Average margin | +11.4 pts | +12.9 pts |
| Margin rank | 4th of 30 | 1st of 30 |
| Rest | 1 day | 1 day |
| Clutch on their games | 5–3 | 6–2 |
| Playoff chance | 81% | 96% |
| 2025-26 record | 49–33 | 52–30 |
They last met on Apr 10, 2026: Timberwolves 136, Rockets 132 in Houston.
After the final, this page grades itself: the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt.