Nov 4 › DAL at SASWednesday, November 4, 2026 · San Antonio · Tip 9:30 PM ET

Spurs, comfortably.

Clutch gives the Spurs a 82% chance at home against the Mavericks. The market has 83%.

Not sealed yet. Every number is sealed before tip.Graded after the final
The callTip 9:30 PM ET
DALMavericks · Away18
SASSpurs · Home82%
Clutch SAS 82 · Market 83

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Why Clutch leans Spurs

Season-long strength: SAS rated well above DAL. Toward the Spurs: 46% of the call.

Season margin: SAS +6.7, DAL -1.9 pts a game (blended with last season early on). Toward the Spurs: 38% of the call.

Home court (SAS). Toward the Spurs: 16% of the call.

Pro weighs every factor, shows the projected final, and Model only — Clutch's own number before the market. See Pro →

What Clutch couldn't see

  • Early season: each team's rating still leans on last season, adjusted for who arrived and who left (it takes about ten games for this season's results to carry most of the weight).

Who's out

TeamPlayerStatusMinutes
DALNobody listed
SASNobody listed

From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.

Coming in

Before Nov 4, 2026DALSAS
Record4–35–2
At home2–23–2
On the road2–12–0
Last 53–25–0
StreakLost 1Won 5
Points scored112.3117.6
Points allowed112.3108.3
Average margin0.0 pts+9.3 pts
Margin rank18th of 306th of 30
Rest1 day1 day
Clutch on their games2–56–1
Playoff chance24%95%
2025-26 record26–5662–20

They last met on Oct 24, 2026: Spurs 122, Mavericks 106 in Dallas.

After the final, this page grades itself: the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt.