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Why Clutch leans Clippers
Home court (LAC). Toward the Clippers: 60% of the call.
Season margin: LAC -2.6, MIA -1.5 pts a game (blended with last season early on). Toward the Heat: 18% of the call.
Roster moves: LAC lost Kawhi Leonard; MIA added Giannis Antetokounmpo; MIA lost Jaime Jaquez Jr. Toward the Heat: 13% of the call.
Pro weighs every factor, shows the projected final, and Model only — Clutch's own number before the market. See Pro →
What Clutch couldn't see
- No line from the market yet, so Clutch's call is Model only — no market to anchor it or to compare against.
- Early season: each team's rating still leans on last season, adjusted for who arrived and who left (it takes about ten games for this season's results to carry most of the weight).
Who's out
| Team | Player | Status | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | Nobody listed | ||
| LAC | Nobody listed |
From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.
Coming in
| Before Nov 4, 2026 | MIA | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2–5 | 1–6 |
| At home | 1–3 | 1–2 |
| On the road | 1–2 | 0–4 |
| Last 5 | 2–3 | 0–5 |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Lost 6 |
| Points scored | 118.1 | 108.1 |
| Points allowed | 123.9 | 115.4 |
| Average margin | −5.7 pts | −7.3 pts |
| Margin rank | 21st of 30 | 22nd of 30 |
| Rest | 1 day | 1 day |
| Clutch on their games | 3–4 | 7–0 |
| Playoff chance | 44% | 12% |
| 2025-26 record | 43–39 | 42–40 |
They last met on Dec 1, 2025: Heat 140, Clippers 123 in Miami.
After the final, this page grades itself: the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt.