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Why Clutch leans Hawks
Season margin: MIL -9.6, ATL +1.0 pts a game (blended with last season early on). Toward the Hawks: 40% of the call.
Season-long strength: ATL rated well above MIL. Toward the Hawks: 32% of the call.
Home court (MIL). Toward the Bucks: 14% of the call.
Pro weighs every factor, shows the projected final, and Model only — Clutch's own number before the market. See Pro →
Who's out
| Team | Player | Status | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | Cormac Ryan | out | 26 MPG |
| ATL | Kingston Flemings | out | 22 MPG |
| ATL | Mouhamed Gueye | out | 11 MPG |
| MIL | Ryan Rollins | questionable | 23 MPG |
| MIL | Pete Nance | out | 26 MPG |
| ATL | Keshon Gilbert | out | 19 MPG |
| MIL | Ousmane Dieng | out | 12 MPG |
| MIL | Kam Jones | out | 18 MPG |
| ATL | Jalen Wilson | doubtful | 24 MPG |
| ATL | Asa Newell | out | 12 MPG |
From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.
Coming in
| Before Nov 15, 2026 | ATL | MIL |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7–6 | 1–12 |
| At home | 3–3 | 1–6 |
| On the road | 4–3 | 0–6 |
| Last 10 | 5–5 | 1–9 |
| Streak | Lost 2 | Lost 9 |
| Points scored | 118.2 | 106.2 |
| Points allowed | 116.8 | 120.2 |
| Average margin | +1.3 pts | −14.1 pts |
| Margin rank | 16th of 30 | 30th of 30 |
| Rest | 1 day | 1 day |
| Clutch on their games | 8–5 | 11–2 |
| Playoff chance | 78% | 2% |
| 2025-26 record | 46–36 | 32–50 |
They last met on Mar 14, 2026: Hawks 122, Bucks 99 in Atlanta.
After the final, this page grades itself: the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt.