Tonight › DAL at BOSSunday, November 15, 2026 · Boston · Tip 6:00 PM ET

Celtics, comfortably.

Clutch gives the Celtics a 86% chance at home against the Mavericks. The market has 85%.

Sealed 12:21 PM ET, 5 h 38 min before tipReceipt 97d13111…9bd84cGraded after the final
The callTip 6:00 PM ET
DALMavericks · Away14
BOSCeltics · Home86%
Clutch BOS 86 · Market 85Sealed 12:21 PM ET

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Why Clutch leans Celtics

Season-long strength: BOS rated well above DAL. Toward the Celtics: 30% of the call.

Season margin: BOS +8.1, DAL -1.3 pts a game (blended with last season early on). Toward the Celtics: 29% of the call.

Rest: BOS 3+ days off, DAL on a back-to-back. Toward the Celtics: 20% of the call.

Pro weighs every factor, shows the projected final, and Model only — Clutch's own number before the market. See Pro →

Who's out

TeamPlayerStatusMinutes
DALDereck Livelyout17 MPG
DALDaniel Gaffordday-to-day22 MPG
DALSergio De Larreaout12 MPG
BOSDevin Carterquestionable29 MPG
DALMax Christieday-to-day18 MPG

From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.

Coming in

Before Nov 15, 2026DALBOS
Record7–610–2
At home5–25–0
On the road2–45–2
Last 106–49–1
StreakLost 2Won 5
Points scored113.5114.3
Points allowed113.3103.1
Average margin+0.2 pts+11.2 pts
Margin rank17th of 303rd of 30
RestBack-to-back3 days
Clutch on their games7–611–1
Playoff chance20%>99%
2025-26 record26–5656–26

They last met on Mar 6, 2026: Celtics 120, Mavericks 100 in Boston.

After the final, this page grades itself: the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt.