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Why Clutch leans Spurs
Season margin: UTA -8.5, SAS +9.6 pts a game (blended with last season early on). Toward the Spurs: 33% of the call.
Season-long strength: SAS rated well above UTA. Toward the Spurs: 33% of the call.
Injury report: UTA without Trey Alexander, Jaxson Hayes, Jaren Jackson +2; SAS without Tobias Harris. Toward the Spurs: 16% of the call.
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Who's out
| Team | Player | Status | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | Lauri Markkanen | out | 30 MPG |
| UTA | Jaren Jackson | out | 27 MPG |
| UTA | Jusuf Nurkic | out | 28 MPG |
| SAS | Tobias Harris | out | 34 MPG |
| UTA | Jaxson Hayes | out | 24 MPG |
| UTA | Trey Alexander | out | 12 MPG |
From the league's official injury report (ESPN's list when the report isn't out). If a status changes before tip, this page and the number update.
Coming in
| Before Nov 15, 2026 | SAS | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 11–2 | 1–12 |
| At home | 5–2 | 1–6 |
| On the road | 6–0 | 0–6 |
| Last 10 | 10–0 | 0–10 |
| Streak | Won 11 | Lost 11 |
| Points scored | 119.5 | 107.5 |
| Points allowed | 106.2 | 118.6 |
| Average margin | +13.2 pts | −11.2 pts |
| Margin rank | 1st of 30 | 27th of 30 |
| Rest | 1 day | 1 day |
| Clutch on their games | 12–1 | 12–1 |
| Playoff chance | 99% | <1% |
| 2025-26 record | 62–20 | 22–60 |
They last met on Nov 2, 2026: Spurs 119, Jazz 97 in San Antonio.
After the final, this page grades itself: the score, whether Clutch was right, and the receipt.